Market Trends 2024: A Story Told Through 10 Essential Charts and Economic Indicators

Here are the main points from the article:
Economy:
- The US economy remains on solid footing despite some slowing.
- The labor market is cooling but not rapidly, with a "low hire, low fire" situation.
- The unemployment rate has been steady at around 4%.
- Economists believe the economy may be headed for a "soft landing," where inflation falls to the Fed’s target without recession.
Fed:
- The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points in its final meeting of the year, signaling it will slow down the pace of cuts.
- Officials see the fed funds rate falling to 3.9% in 2025, higher than previously projected.
- The Fed expects to cut interest rates two more times in 2025 and two additional times in 2026.
Stock Market:
- Strategists expect a solid-to-strong year for the S&P 500 in 2025, with a median target of 6,600 (11% increase from current levels).
- Only one strategist sees the benchmark index ending 2025 lower.
- Wells Fargo’s Chris Harvey expects the S&P 500 to end 2025 at 7,007.
Inflation:
- The Fed believes it can bring inflation down to its target of 2% without recession.
- Economists are cautiously optimistic about the inflation outlook.
Interest Rates:
- Markets are pricing in one or two additional rate cuts in 2025, lower than previously expected.
- The Fed expects to slow down its easing cycle after launching it earlier this year.